March 4, 2014
MLB Opening Day is just a couple weeks away which means it’s time for my yearly ritual of predicting the six division winners and ensuring that those teams don’t have the season they are hoping for. What can I say? It’s a gift. (I don’t think the Blue Jays would call it that after the 2013 season). So let’s get on with it.
Last season proved that anything can happen in this division. A year ago I wrote “The Red Sox aren’t going to make a 25-win improvement over 2012.” So now I say, “I told you so.” Of course they didn’t win 25 more games than 2012. They won 28 more games. Just like I suspected they would. I’d like to see them try to do that again. But I think they will have a tougher road this year. They won’t be the team of destiny anymore. The Yankees will be trying to give Derek Jeter one final postseason and the Blue Jays have to be better right? The Orioles and Rays will be very good, too. I say all five teams finish over .500 and it’s the Rays that claim the division crown.
It almost feels like cheating to pick the team that won it last year. But when the same team has won for the last three years, it just seems stupid not to pick them. Am I right? Especially when they haven’t won a title yet. The Tigers ought to be a hungry bunch. The may have the best hitter and pitcher in baseball with Miguel Cabrera and Justin Verlander. They won’t run away with it. But Detroit wins the Central again.
Once again, people seem to think the Angels are back. I don’t think so. There’s too much up in the air with Josh Hamilton and Albert Pujols. I don’t see them returning to elite players. So that leaves the Rangers and the A’s to battle it out (with Seattle improving but not there yet). I’ve learned my lesson. I keep picking against Oakland and I keep getting it wrong. No more. Despite the Rangers adding Prince Fielder and Shin-Soo Choo, I’m taking the A’s to work their magic again and defend their title. If you don’t believe me, watch Moneyball and you will.
I’d like a mulligan. (Does it count as a mulligan if you pick the same team as last year?) It seems like Washington is due to have some stuff go its way. Just a couple more wins than last year should be enough to get the job done. Especially when the Nationals are going to be rolling out Strasburg, Gonzalez, Zimmerman and Fister to the mound all season. The Braves will give them a run, but its about time something went right in Washington.
We know it won’t be the Cubs. The Brewers should be better than the 74-win team from last year and make it a four-team race for a while, but in the end it will come down to the three teams (Cardinals, Pirates and Reds) that all won at least 90 games last year. One of them won’t get there this year. Sadly, I think it might be the Pirates that drop off the pace. The Reds won the Central in 2010 and 2012 so obviously 2014 is going to be their year as well. I like their rotation the best and if they can get Billy Hamilton on base, their offense will be scary.
Question: How many division titles do you have to buy before you become hated like the Yankees? The Dodgers are determined to find this out. No team has more superstars right now. They ran away with the West last year and should win it easily again. The real question for this team is can it make a deep run in October.
October 7, 2013
Patriots and Seahawks fall from ranks of unbeatens: Denver, Kansas City, and New Orleans all won their games this weekend to reach the 5-0 plateau in the NFL, but the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks weren’t quite as fortunate. The Pats’ loss to Cincinnati wasn’t too surprising as the team had been involved in numerous close games, winning three of their four contests by a touchdown or less. Even at 4-1, it’s hard to get a handle on just how good New England is this season. Meanwhile, Seattle won’t be running the table either, after a 34-28 loss to Indianapolis as the Colts scored 11 unanswered points in the final quarter.
Pirates and Rays win Wild Card games: The Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays extended their seasons with Wild Card wins in the opening games of Major League Baseball’s playoffs last week. Pittsburgh defeated Cincinnati and took a 2-1 lead in their best of five series with the St. Louis Cardinals into Monday. The Rays could be packing up soon, though, after falling behind 2-0 in their series with the Boston Red Sox.
NHL season underway: The NHL regular season kicked off this past week with a trio of games on Tuesday. Highlighting the schedule was the defending champion Chicago Blackhawks winning their opener against the Washington Capitals. The Caps got a hat trick from Mikhail Grabovski in his debut with the team, but it wasn’t enough as Chicago won 6-4 in dramatic fashion, scoring the game’s last three goals in the final period.
Dusty Baker fired as Reds coach: Managers that make the playoffs in three out of four major league seasons aren’t often fired. Such was the case, though, in Cincinnati where the Reds let go of their head man, Dusty Baker. Baker averaged 85 wins a year in his six seasons with the club but despite that and the postseason appearances, that wasn’t enough to keep his job. The big knock on the manager is that he wasn’t able to lead the Reds deep in the playoffs, losing in the first round in each of those seasons. You never can tell how things like this will work out, but canning a manager with that much success is difficult to justify – despite the early exits. The only way the move pays off is with a World Series appearance and with the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves hanging around in the National League, and the surging Pirates making waves in the division, that’s hardly a guarantee.
Dwight Howard-Kareem apparently not BFFs: File this in the ‘In Case You Missed It’ file, but if you’ve not yet seen it, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Dwight Howard are in a bit of a mini-feud. Abdul-Jabbar fired the first shot by insinuating that Howard wasn’t a smart player and Howard, understandably, shot back, claiming dumb players don’t win Defensive Player of the Year awards. While Howard is certainly one of the league’s best centers and has more than a fair point, he’s always going to get a bad rap in L.A. for his disastrous year with the Lakers. His addition was supposed to put the Lakers over the top, but instead the team regressed with him around.
Mascot fail: Someone apparently needs to explain the NFL’s field goal rules to the Miami Dolphins mascot. Instead of hitting a game-tying field goal, the Fins’ Caleb Sturgis missed the kick against the Ravens in their 26-23 loss. Only problem is that someone forgot to tell the mascot who celebrated a little early. Whoops. Oh well, I guess it’s better than legitimately beating up a little kid like the Colts’ mascot did this week.
June 26, 2013
Major League Baseball has a good thing on its hands—the NL Central is going to be a three team dog fight until the end.
Currently, the St. Louis Cardinals, Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are only separated by 3.5 games in the standings. They are three of the best teams in baseball. The Reds find themselves third in the division with 45 wins. Only one team outside the division, the Boston Red Sox have more wins. As of June 26, the NL Central has three playoff teams.
So, which team is the best?
Well, the Cardinals have one of the finest organizations in all of sports—somehow they always find a way to win. The Cards have a fantastic farm system that constantly keeps the big league club ripe with talent. They’re also a team that somehow gets the most out of every guy—they make All-Stars out of role players.
This year is no different—they currently have five guys hitting .300-plus, actually six if you count Matt Adams, who only has 86 at-bats. Catcher Yadier Molina leads the league with a .355 average. The team also has a stable of rookies contributing key innings on the pitching mound. Right now, 7-of-12 pitchers on their roster are 25 years old or younger. With all those fresh arms on the hill the Cardinals are poised to go deep into the playoffs.
That is, of course if the stay atop the division and fend off the Pirates and Reds.
The Pirates are the sweethearts of baseball—okay, maybe that’s a “soft” term for such a rugged team. They will not go down without a fracas. In reality, everybody who passionately follows the game wants this team to win. The franchise hasn’t had a winning season since 1992. They’ve toyed with a better than .500 record the past two seasons but have unraveled at the end.
Good news for the team, their pitching has held up well to this point. Also, Andrew McCutchen, their best player has yet to play his best ball. The emergence of rookie pitcher Gerrit Cole has strengthened the rotation and is the ingredient the team needs to remain over the hump. By August, this kid will be an outright star.
Is this finally the year the Bucs break out?
Not if the Reds have something to do with it. Cincinnati is built to win now. They have a top-notch rotation and a perennial MVP candidate in Joey Votto.
The Reds have every component to win now, but will need some clutch hitting along the way. It seems to be the one weakness the team has. Untimely hitting can plague teams and this year it’s cost the Reds a few games. Hey, it’s better to have those problems now rather than late August—there’s plenty of time to work out the kinks.
This isn’t to downplay the Reds; they’re a phenomenal squad and right in the thick of the race. Look for them to be buyers at the for a professional hitter out of the two-hole.
So, which team will win the NL Central this year? Let’s reconvene in early September and talk. One thing’s for sure, we’re in for a treat.
June 18, 2013
There is another month of baseball to play before the MLB All-Star break so we should know who is good and who isn’t at this point, but I’ll bet there isn’t anyone out there who would have guessed that the best teams during the month of June would be Kansas City, Toronto, San Diego and Oakland. Meanwhile, teams like the Yankees, Rangers and Dodgers are struggling. Where will that leave those teams in today’s power rankings?
1. St. Louis Cardinals (44-25): As a Cubs fan, you never want to see the Cardinals at the top of the list but there’s no denying they have the best record in baseball and are +102 in run differential.
3. Cincinnati Reds (42-28): If the Reds were in any other division, they’d be in first place.
4. Oakland A’s (42-29): The A’s have made a huge jump from the 15 spot a month ago. That’s what an 18-7 record will do for you.
5. Boston Red Sox (42-29): Boston leads the majors in runs scored with 363.
6. Texas Rangers (38-31): Just like the end of last season, the Rangers have been caught by Oakland.
8. Baltimore Orioles (40-30): Baltimore has quietly taken the lead in the wild card race and pulled within just 1.5 games of Boston.
9. Arizona Diamondbacks (37-32): I don’t think anyone expected the Diamondbacks to be leading the NL West at this point.
10. Pittsburgh Pirates (41-28): Forget about finishing over .500…the Pirates are on pace to finish close to .600.
11. New York Yankees (38-31): Could this be the beginning of the end for the Yankees. They’ve lost ground in the AL East and wild card races.
13. San Diego Padres (36-34): Seven straight wins will and the Padres are back in the hunt after a 2-10 to the season.
14. Tampa Bay Rays (36-33): Wil Myers has been called up. Now let’s see what he can do.
15. Kansas City Royals (34-34): The Royals have been the best team in baseball, going 12-4 in June.
16. Washington Nationals (34-35): It’s turning into a disappointing season in the capital. The Nats better get back on track soon or it will be too late.
17. Cleveland Indians (34-35): Here’s a team that has really cooled off and is just 5-10 in June.
18. San Francisco Giants (35-34): The Giants will have to do better than 14-22 on the road if they want to defend their title.
19. Toronto Blue Jays (33-36): The Jays have six wins in a row and are climbing out of a big hole.
20. Philadelphia Phillies (34-37): The Phillies are second in the majors in quality starts but don’t have much to show for it.
21. Minnesota Twins (30-36): The Twins are near the bottom in just about every pitching category. Not good.
22. LA Dodgers (29-39): Talk about a wasted season…nobody is farther away from next-to-last in their division than the Dodgers.
23. LA Angels (31-39): Here is another team that was supposed to contend and has let their fans down.
24. Milwaukee Brewers (28-40): It’s going to be a dead heat with the Cubs for last place in the NL Central.
25. Chicago Cubs (28-40): It’s going to be a dead heat with the Brewers for last place in the NL Central.
27. Chicago White Sox (29-38): It looks like it will be a tight race for worst team in Chicago.
28. New York Mets (25-40): The Mets are making a strong run towards the worst record in baseball with a 3-10 start in June.
29. Houston Astros (26-45): An 8-8 record so far this month is a big improvement for the AL West newcomers.
30. Miami Marlins (22-47): The Marlins are playing better, posting an 8-6 record so far this month.
May 21, 2013
Now that we’ve made it a quarter of the way through the MLB season we know a few things we thought at the start of the season are right (Texas is good, Houston is not) and a few are wrong (Boston is good, the Dodgers are not). So it’s time for the first power ranking post of the season.
1. Texas Rangers (29-16): It sure looks like they picked the right time to lets Josh Hamilton leave town.
3. Boston Red Sox (27-18): Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz are a combined 12-1 so far.
4. St. Louis Cardinals (28-16): The Cards lead the majors in ERA.
5. Cincinnati Reds (27-18): The Reds are 16-6 at home, the best record in the majors.
6. Cleveland Indians (26-17): Five straight wins and 8-2 in the last 10 makes the Tribe the hottest team in baseball.
7. New York Yankees (28-16): Who would have thought they would be in first place without all of their injured stars?
8. Detroit Tigers (23-19): The Tigers have scored 20 more runs than their opponents this month but are just 8-9 to show for it.
9. Pittsburgh Pirates (26-18): Forget about finishing over .500…the Pirates are on pace to finish close to .600.
10. Arizona Diamondbacks (26-19): I don’t think anyone expected the Diamondbacks to be leading the NL West at this point.
11. Colorado Rockies (24-21): The Rockies are leading the majors in runs scored with 222.
13. San Francisco Giants (25-20): The defending champs are known for their pitching but their batting average ranks second in baseball.
15. Oakland A’s (24-22): The A’s are 24th in batting average, but 9th in getting on base. Why? They lead the majors in walks with 187.
17. Kansas City Royals (20-21): After a hot April (14-10) the Royals have cooled off.
18. San Diego Padres (21-23): San Diego has recovered from a 2-10 start. Can they keep it up?
21. Chicago Cubs (18-25): Matt Garza is finally back….and the Cubs need him to be great.
23. Minnesota Twins (18-23): After losing eight of the last ten, the Twins are in the AL Central cellar.
24. LA Angels (17-27): Here is the first of three teams battling it out for most disappointing team of the season.
25. New York Mets (17-25): Where would this team be without Matt Harvey?
26. Milwaukee Brewers (17-26): With the Astros moved to the American League, the Brewers are in danger of being the worst team in the NL Central.
27. Toronto Blue Jays (18-26): Toronto tried to fight fire with fire by signing big name free agents but so far they are getting burned.
28. LA Dodgers (18-25): The Dodgers by far the most disappointing team in the National League and maybe in all of baseball.
29. Miami Marlins (13-32): The Marlins have scored just 122 runs and are last in the majors. They are also last in batting average, on base percentage and slugging percentage.
30. Houston Astros (13-32): The Astros have allowed a whopping 266 runs this season and are last in the majors. They are also last in ERA, quality starts and WHIP.