August 15, 2012
With NFL Fantasy Football drafts right around the corner, we will take a look at the top 5 players at each position. Depending on what type of league you are in, theses evaluations will vary, but the general ranking will be similar. Our last rankings focused on quarterbacks. This week, we will look at the running backs and which players are worthy of a high pick.
1. Ray Rice
You won’t see this ranking many other places. To me, consistency is important, and Ray Rice has been nothing but solid that past three seasons. Add the fact he averages over 70 catches over the last three years, and you can count on lots of points from Rice. The Ravens are a team that runs the ball well and will feature Rice often. There is a little worry with the trend of players under-performing after signing a new contract, but I have faith that you won’t regret picking Rice early.
2. LeSean McCoy
Another shocker. However, if you compare his stats with Arian Foster’s the last 3 years, McCoy is right with Foster in many categories. Last season, McCoy had more yards on less carries, as well as 7 more rushing touchdown’s than Foster. That is a lot of points. The Texans can run the ball, but I think the Eagles have a better passing game, allowing them to be more balanced and not let defenses stack the box. I think McCoy is a solid pick up on your fantasy roster.
3. Arian Foster
We finally arrive at the consensus #1 running back in fantasy. I don’t have anything against Foster, and if you can get him on your team when the other 2 running backs listed are gone, I don’t think you will be too disappointed. Foster will get you points, but with Andre Johnson being the only other offensive weapon for the Texans, defenses know who they need to key in on. Add Ben Tate to the equation, and I feel the two other running backs are better options for this season.
4. Matt Forte
While the off-season was a little shaky with his contract dispute/holdout, Forte is in camp and should be his reliable self. As you can tell by my rankings, I like my fantasy running backs to be receiving threats and Forte holds his own, averaging over 50 catches over the last 3 years. However, he only has one 1,000 yard season over that time, which is hard to accept. That being said, with the additions the Bears have made in the passing game, I think Chicago could have a solid offense this season, leading to more red-zone opportunities for Forte.
5. Darren McFadden
This is a tough one. Darren McFadden is a solid bet, when healthy. That, unfortunately, is a big disclaimer. McFadden has had durability issues in the NFL so this could be a risky pick. However, most of the running backs left have concerns. Maurice Jones-Drew is currently holding out. The Falcons have said they may limit Michael Turner in the beginning of the year to keep his legs fresh. Steven Jackson is getting up there in age. The list goes on and on. So I will take a flyer on McFadden and hope for the best.
November 4, 2011
Was Drew Brees on the football field Sunday? Didn’t feel like it. Honestly, I’m not that surprised the Rams beat the Saints. There are no actual facts to back up this theory, but sometimes teams that blow up offensively one week don’t perform the next game. It happens in football, basketball, and baseball. Whether the team grows overconfident in their abilities and slacks off, is tired from the week before, or something else, I don’t know. It just seems to happen more often than it should.
Brandon Pettigrew was a disappointment, too. I had high expectations for him last week, and the entire season, but he just hasn’t performed. If you can’t capitalize in that high powered offense when the opposing secondary is focusing on Calvin Johnson, you’re not worth a starting spot on a fantasy team.
Detroit’s defense had a good game, though, thanks to Tebow performing like many of us expected. He’s a good guy, and you want him to win based on personality alone, but I’m worried he’s not a pro caliber quarterback.
Adrian Peterson performed, well, too, as he always does. But he didn’t blow the roof off, like you’d expect. Part of the problem was the Vikings went down early to the Panthers and had to throw more than they’d like. Still, Christian Ponder used a lot of check-down passes to Peterson, recording a TD on that end, too.
Not a bad week overall… on to Week 9 picks.
Forte has been tearing it up this year, and will certainly be paid in the offseason (unless the Bears slap the Franchise Tag on him). Sunday he faces the Philadelphia Eagles, who I see as playing strong the rest of the season after they had the bye to get situated.
The Eagles defense shut down Tony Romo and the Cowboys, but their offensive “forte” is the passing game, and with Nnamdi Asomugha, Asante Samuel, and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie patrolling the secondary off of a bye, it’s easy to see why the Cowboys offense stalled.
The Bears “forte,” though, is Forte. The Eagles’ frontline has not performed well this season. Look for the Bears to feed their workhorse back (and potentially Marion Barber if he plays) plenty.
There’s also a good chance Jay Cutler throws a few picks, but that’s always on the table.
Arian Foster / Ben Tate
I presume Foster will get the bulk of the carries now that he’s healthy, but you never know, so I include Tate here. The Browns have had a tough time stopping the run this year, as the secondary is responsible for keeping them in games. There’s a good chance both these guys score Sunday in Houston, and a decent chance the Texans eclipse 30 points.
I’m going to continue to pick on Tebow here, and say that Oakland will have a solid defensive game. Despite losing Asomugha in the offseason, the defense remains the strong suit of the team. Their defensive line is strong and will surely pressure Tebow like Detroit’s big line did last week.
Staying in the same game, I’ll now pick on Carson Palmer. I’ll dismiss his three interception performance two weeks ago – he was only with the team for a few days, and had spent the entire season throwing to high school kids until he was traded from Cincinnati. But Palmer has not been the top tier quarterback he once was since he blew out his knee in the playoffs.
Last year he had a fairly solid fantasy season and qualified as a top ten quarterback. But I find it hard to believe, even with a bye week to catch up, that he’ll be able to hit the ground running for the Raiders. They’ll likely feed Darren McFadden and Michael Bush and limit Palmer’s impact. If Tebow manages to work some of his intangible magic and jump to a significant lead, and Palmer’s forced to perform, look for pick city.
October 12, 2011
Fantasy Football Predictions: Week 5 Recap
I’m not sure what’s going on with the New York Jets. They held up pretty well against the New England Patriots, only losing by nine points, but I’m surprised they didn’t run more. Sure the Patriots’ secondary is suspect, but slowing the game down and playing good defense was the Jets bread and butter. Super Bowl hopefuls I just don’t see.
Where I missed on Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson, I hit on Alex Smith. The 49ers crushed the Tampa Bay Bucs 48-3, with Smith tossing 3 TD and 0 INT. The offensive explosion did not include Michael Crabtree, though, recording only a couple catches for 36 yards.
Oh and Nick Novak kicked five field goals. That’s a solid pick for a kicker, albeit lucky. But when your fantasy team begins to tank, you take what you can get.
Fantasy Football Predictions: Week 6
Dallas & New England
It feels like a cop out to just select two offenses, but this match up has high scoring written all over it. Expect Tom Brady and his receivers to have a big game, as well as Tony Romo and his crew. Brady doesn’t discriminate when it comes to his receivers, so who knows who will be his favorite target for the week. If you’re looking to pick someone up, go after Aaron Hernandez, their second tight end who gets first tight end receptions, or Chad Ochocinco, who has disappointed fantasy owners so far, but has to score at least a few times this year, right?
The Oakland Raiders face my Cleveland Browns this Sunday, which I fully expect to result in personal dismay. The Brownies can’t stop the run, and Darren McFadden has become the top tier player the Raiders expected him to be when he was drafted in the first round a few years ago.
But unless your league-mates have been in a cave, he’s not on your waiver wire. Chances are Michael Bush isn’t either, but I have him on many of my teams, and it’s always a toss-up whether he should play or not. This week he’s a good play in a likely blowout of the Browns. The Raiders will run the ball a ton, and Bush will get the goal line carries.
Speaking of the running game, the Green Bay Packers go up against one of the worst run defenses in the league in the St. Louis Rams. They’re also one of the worse defenses in general, so Aaron Rodgers should have a big day. But eventually they’ll pull out to a big league and run the clock down. Grant splits carries with James Starks, but Grant is technically the starter and incumbent, although he missed all last year due to injury.
For whatever reason, I’ve noticed Grant go undrafted and stay on the waiver wire in many leagues. He’s definitely not what he was two years ago, but he’s a good value play if you’re desperate for a running back.
September 9, 2008
By John Fontana
For a Denver Broncos fan, there is only one thing better than beating the Oakland Raiders – crushing the Raiders. On Monday night. In Oakland. Before a national television audience and those costumed Raider faithful. Is that four? Who’s counting?! But before Broncos fans start celebrating too hard, they must understand that the breadth of the 16-game NFL season will expose Oakland as a woeful football team. That’s not to say the Broncos victory is hollow…just that they were able to make it look a little too easy.
The two key players in Oakland’s backfield are untested; pseudo rookie JaMarcus Russell (QB) and true rookie Darren McFadden (RB). The offensive and defensive lines are weak. The team racked up nearly 100 yards in penalties against the Broncos Monday night. Of course, Broncos fans will never let them forget…the Raiders were 25th in team offense and 22nd in team defense. Chances are, it will take more than one season to overcome that stigma.
Yet, none of this should diminish what the Broncos did Monday night. Third-year quarterback, Jay Cutler, appeared confident and was clearly in control of the offense. He passed long and short while running out of the pocket. But most importantly, he was dead-on accurate and finished with a passer rating of 137.3. By comparison, New England’s Tom Brady finished last season as the NFL’s top passer with a rating of 117.3.
In the midst of all this Bronco’s showmanship, a new star emerged…a player for which there was no warning, no fanfare or media heads-up whatsoever. Eddie Royal. Shanahan was CIA-covert about Royal and kept him out of the media spotlight during training camp. Royal went to bed Sunday night with only him and his mother thinking he could be a star in the NFL, but now the sky could be the limit after he burned nine catches into the psyche of Oakl
and’s two touted cornerbacks, Nnamdi Asomugha and DeAngelo Hall. After Monday night, Eddie Royal emerged as the leading receiver in the NFL for Week 1. It wasn’t just his 146 yards of receiving; it was running out of the backfield (2 attempts for 9 yards) and an attempted pass, which he calmly threw out of bounds when the play broke down. He also returned punts. Despite being tight-lipped about Royal, it was obvious Shanahan built his offense around his new rookie. To any lifelong Broncos fans watching, Royal harkened back to the days when Rick Upchurch ran wild on the field like Peter Rabbit dodging an angry Mr. McGregor.
The only downside for the Broncos was that their platoon running game with Andre Hall and Selvin Young averaged only 4.2 yards per carry, nearly a yard short of Shanahan’s expectation. Fullback Michael Pittman looked like he was struggling and averaged under 2 yards per carry.
On the defensive side, Oakland put up 150 yards rushing on a 4.8 yard average exposing the fact that the defense is still shaking off last year when it was 19th in the league in rushing yards allowed. Special teams, especially the coverage teams, appeared to be going at it with only 10 men.
Every Broncos/Raiders game has the potential to become a classic – such is the team’s deep-seated rivalry. For Bronco’s fans, this first game of the season did not disappoint. As for Cutler and Royal? There’s no better way to kick off the season than with a blowout of the Raiders.
NOTE: The opinions reflected in this blog are not those of Fathead. Although we do really dig watching the Broncos and Raiders spar. Should you take offense at this article – and Raider’s fans probably will – we encourage an intelligent discourse carried out sans poddy language right here on the Fathead blog. Otherwise, all hits should remain on the field.