June 18, 2012
As recently as two years ago, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, and Chad Ochocinco were three of the most dangerous receivers in the NFL. Each was a few years past his respective prime, but still able to contribute heavily. The trio combined for more than 2,200 yards and 18 touchdowns in 2010, and the group was still a potent bunch.
Two years later, though, and it’s a different story.
Moss didn’t play last season and after a brief retirement, signed with the San Francisco 49ers for 2012. Moss may be the biggest question mark as he had the worst numbers of the three players in 2010. He failed to make big splashes with any of the three (yes, three) teams for which he played. Moss had brief stints with the New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, and Tennessee Titans, but had a hard time fitting in with any of them, even though he previously had done well with the Patriots.
An offseason injury in 2011 forced Terrell Owens to the sideline. He was deemed ready to play by his agent and even held a televised workout in October, but no NFL teams attended. With no other options, Owens suited up for the Allen Wranglers of the Indoor Football League, playing there earlier this year, but has since been released.
After a solid 2010, Chad Ochocinco dropped off in a big way last season. Playing for the New England Patriots, he never fully grasped the system and simply wasn’t a good fit. He had the worst season of his career with only 276 receiving yards and a single touchdown.
Even though all three have question marks, each is headed in different directions as I see it.
Of the three, Owens’ career may be the one most in danger. The fact that his workout in 2011 drew no NFL interest shows exactly where he stands in terms of league appeal. And while he had a productive 2010 playing alongside Ochocinco in Cincinnati, he wasn’t able to dominate the Indoor Football League this past season. Owens played in only eight games, so it’s not fair to judge him based on total numbers. But his per game average of 52.9 yards a game wasn’t even in the league’s top 20 and he was merely a good, not great, wideout. For a player trying to get back to the NFL, it isn’t terribly impressive that he wasn’t even among the best receivers in an indoor league. It’s a different brand of football, but Owens’ skill should still translate into better numbers.
Moss, on the other hand, will have an immediate opportunity. He’s headed to a 49ers team that is in desperate need of an upgraded passing attack. Alex Smith has become a serviceable quarterback, but will have a chance to get even better if Moss is in shape. Even in his older age, Moss has a chance to become a top target in San Fran. Still, it’s hard to put his dismal 2010 out of mind. When you think about his inability to fit with any of the three teams for which he played, it’s pretty unsettling. The bottom line is that while he’s getting yet another shot, there’s no guarantee Moss will work out.
Ochocinco recently signed with the Miami Dolphins and may have the best chance to revive his career simply because he’s the youngest. At only 34, there’s still plenty of time for him to be effective. His numbers were incredibly low last season, but there’s good reason to think that his year was a bit of an anomaly. Playing in New England as a wide receiver is a bit different than many places. The Patriots emphasize finding the open man rather than looking for specific targets – it’s one of the reasons why unknowns can produce big seasons there. The other thing to like about Ochocinco is that even while playing alongside Owens in 2010, he still racked up over 800 yards receiving and caught nearly 70 passes. Playing in Miami, he’ll become one of the focal points of the passing game since the Dolphins allowed their No. 1 receiver, Brandon Marshall, to go to the Chicago Bears. Ochocinco will be the star in Miami and could even be in line for a 1,000-yard season if he’s still healthy. If you need another reason for his potential success, look no further than the Dolphins’ potent rushing game, which was 11th in the NFL. That should free up the passing game a bit and give Ochocinco an even bigger chance for success.
If anything slows him down this year, it will be the quarterback situation. The Dolphins selected Ryan Tannehill in the first round and could be forced to play him early on. That could prevent Ochocinco from having a huge season if Tannehill has some growing pains, but Miami also has veterans David Garrard and Matt Moore in place. Neither is great, but both are capable NFL quarterbacks.
All three have a chance to become impact receivers again, but my bet is on Ochocinco to do the most with the remainder of his career.
June 8, 2012
With news coming out yesterday that Chad Ochocinco was released by the New England Patriots, speculation has started on where the wide receiver could end up next year. It has been a rough year for wide receivers in the NFL. Terrell Owens has been unable to land with a team, Hines Ward retired maybe a bit earlier than he wanted to, and now Chad Ochocinco needs to find a home. So which teams could be interested in the former Pro Bowl wide receiver?
If the Houston Texans have interest in Ochocinco, you would have to think they would be the favorites. The team on my list with the best chances of making it to the playoffs this season, Chad went to the Patriots in the hopes of winning a Super Bowl. The Texans made the playoffs last year and might see Ochocinco as the WR they have been looking for to free Andre Johnson of constant double teams.
The Buffalo Bills have some precedent with this type of signing, having picked up Terrell Owens in 2009. The Bills started off last season with a 5-2 record before eventually ending up 6-10. That fast start, with the free agency addition of Mario Williams and the drafting of Stephon Gilmore could be enough to entice Ochocinco. The Bills don’t have much in the WR department outside of Stevie Johnson, so Ochocinco could be a solid addition to their offense.
This might be a long shot, but the Cleveland Browns desperately were looking for a WR going into the NFL Draft, and while they came out with a new QB and RB, they still are thin at wide receiver. The Browns aren’t considered likely candidates to make a big playoff run, but with a revamped offense, Ochocinco could be a missing piece to a rebound season.
The Dolphins lost their #1 receiver in Brandon Marshall during the off-season, when they traded him to the Chicago Bears. They may find Ochocinco to be too much of a distraction for their team to gamble on, but they could definitely use the help. Rookie QB Ryan Tannehill could use some help with targets to throw to and there aren’t many WR’s of Ochocino’s caliber available on the free agent market.
St. Louis Rams
Sam Bradford is a solid young QB on a pretty awful St. Louis Rams football team. With WR’s Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson as his wideouts, you have to think Bradford would welcome Chad Ochocinco to the offense. Jeff Fisher has taken a gamble on an older receiver before, having acquired Randy Moss while he was the head coach of the Tennessee Titans. I am not sure Ochocinco would go to a team that has struggled like the Rams have, but right now, his options are limited.
November 23, 2011
I wholeheartedly regret predicting Ochocinco would break one off for a score in my last NFL fantasy football suggestions. Not only did he fail to reach the end zone, but did not record a single catch. The Patriots have Julien Edelman playing receiver, linebacker, and returning punts for TD’s, but Ocho can’t do a thing. I don’t get it.
Otherwise, my NFL fantasy football predictions were not too bad. The Panthers offense had a solid game against the Lions, despite suffering another second half comeback by Detroit. The Cleveland defense held the Jaguars to just 10 points, despite MJD eclipsing the century mark and finding the end zone. Frank Gore was a surprising miss, but I won’t take the blame for Ryan Grant and James Starks. Their fullback, John Kuhn, and their DEFENSIVE TACKLE, BJ Raji, vultured their goal line touchdowns. Kind of cool, but not if you’re a fantasy football owner.
Week 12 NFL Fantasy Football Predictions
Shootout in Detroit
This is the first Thanksgiving game for Detroit that I can remember meaning something. Since Barry Sanders left, it’s always been the game my family ate dinner during. But the Lions’ high powered, comeback offense should prove for an exciting game this Thursday, especially because they’re facing the undefeated, high powered counterpart in Green Bay.
If you’re fantasy football team is looking for a receiver, grab whoever is available and highest on one of these teams depth charts. Green Bay is your best bet, since Aaron Rodgers tends to spread the ball around, and Matt Stafford tends to focus on Calvin Johnson. But if you’re desperate, Burleson and Pettigrew are good pickups. Kevin Smith, their old, injury prone, former first round pick back from the dead, is a good fantasy football grab, too. He won’t score 3 TD’s every week, but at this point in the season, there won’t be much else available on the waiver wire.
One note of caution – this could be one of those should-be-shootouts that stays around the 24-17 range. Both will be on short rest, and both exploded last weekend on the offensive end, especially Detroit.
Newton had a decent game against the Lions, despite a few turnovers. He reminds me of a more talented Vince Young – ability to score in multiple ways, big body, wins games despite lack of fundamentals. Basically, with the good comes the bad, it depends on if you capitalize on the good.
Sunday, they face the Colts, who have basically given up. Sure, they’re coming out of a bye, but to start trying now when they’ve almost locked down the first pick to nab Andrew Luck wouldn’t make sense. Could be another 400 yard game for Newton.
The Texans are coming off their bye and face a struggling Jacksonville team. Blaine Gabbert is a rookie without a go-to receiver and an inconsistent running back. The Jags will have trouble putting up points against the Texans defense, who ranks surprisingly high on defensive yards per game for both rushing and passing.
Arizona travels to St. Louis, who happens to posses the second worst rushing defense in the league. Wells isn’t the feature back the Cardinals had hoped when they drafted him a couple years ago, but he’s a big guy that should find the end zone in what will likely be a low scoring game (not because of defense, though).
October 12, 2011
Fantasy Football Predictions: Week 5 Recap
I’m not sure what’s going on with the New York Jets. They held up pretty well against the New England Patriots, only losing by nine points, but I’m surprised they didn’t run more. Sure the Patriots’ secondary is suspect, but slowing the game down and playing good defense was the Jets bread and butter. Super Bowl hopefuls I just don’t see.
Where I missed on Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson, I hit on Alex Smith. The 49ers crushed the Tampa Bay Bucs 48-3, with Smith tossing 3 TD and 0 INT. The offensive explosion did not include Michael Crabtree, though, recording only a couple catches for 36 yards.
Oh and Nick Novak kicked five field goals. That’s a solid pick for a kicker, albeit lucky. But when your fantasy team begins to tank, you take what you can get.
Fantasy Football Predictions: Week 6
Dallas & New England
It feels like a cop out to just select two offenses, but this match up has high scoring written all over it. Expect Tom Brady and his receivers to have a big game, as well as Tony Romo and his crew. Brady doesn’t discriminate when it comes to his receivers, so who knows who will be his favorite target for the week. If you’re looking to pick someone up, go after Aaron Hernandez, their second tight end who gets first tight end receptions, or Chad Ochocinco, who has disappointed fantasy owners so far, but has to score at least a few times this year, right?
The Oakland Raiders face my Cleveland Browns this Sunday, which I fully expect to result in personal dismay. The Brownies can’t stop the run, and Darren McFadden has become the top tier player the Raiders expected him to be when he was drafted in the first round a few years ago.
But unless your league-mates have been in a cave, he’s not on your waiver wire. Chances are Michael Bush isn’t either, but I have him on many of my teams, and it’s always a toss-up whether he should play or not. This week he’s a good play in a likely blowout of the Browns. The Raiders will run the ball a ton, and Bush will get the goal line carries.
Speaking of the running game, the Green Bay Packers go up against one of the worst run defenses in the league in the St. Louis Rams. They’re also one of the worse defenses in general, so Aaron Rodgers should have a big day. But eventually they’ll pull out to a big league and run the clock down. Grant splits carries with James Starks, but Grant is technically the starter and incumbent, although he missed all last year due to injury.
For whatever reason, I’ve noticed Grant go undrafted and stay on the waiver wire in many leagues. He’s definitely not what he was two years ago, but he’s a good value play if you’re desperate for a running back.
September 28, 2011
Man, was Week 3 for the NFL exciting. A total of ten underdogs took home wins, the highlight being the Buffalo Bills, who survived Tom Brady’s New England Patriots to take the early division lead. The Oakland Raiders mostly dominated the New York Jets, the Cleveland Browns scored a game winning touchdown in the last two minutes, and Michael Vick somehow managed to start, but got knocked out, again. All around entertaining week.
My NFL fantasy predictions, however, were a mixed bag. Rex Grossman had a decent game against the Dallas Cowboys, but failed to put up significant numbers. The San Diego Chargers were a huge disappointment, not blowing out the hobbled Kansas City Chiefs as they should. Vick started, but Mike Kafka did get some playing time, but did not impress.
The bright spot was Rob Gronkowski, who again, scored two touchdowns in a high scoring battle against the Bills. Ochocinco should have had a good game, as well, but dropped a sure fire 50 yard touchdown pass. It slipped right through his hands. Stunning. Still can’t believe it. While I continue to try to digest that, on to Week 4 NFL predictions.
A lot of people have been down on Romo. Sure, he screwed up in Week 1 against the New York Jets. But he’s still a Top 10 quarterback, and whether or not he’s a true leader, he’ll still give you NFL fantasy points. I’ll admit, his performance Monday was less than stellar. I expected much more. But he is playing with broken ribs and a pierced lung, so he deserves some slack.
Another week to recover should be good for him. Although it’s a short week and recover time isn’t normal, expect him to have a big game against the Detroit Lions. The Lions secondary is sub-par, and with a high scoring offense led by Matt Stafford, I see this being a shootout. If Romo can’t go, Jon Kitna wouldn’t be the worst pick up for those desperate.
I’m very surprised to be saying this, but I think McNabb is poised for a good week. Perceived by many to be well past his prime, and Week 1’s performance was nothing short of proof, McNabb has played decently the past two weeks. The Vikings would have won Sunday if not for their aversion from Adrian Peterson in the second half, which was strange to say the least.
A match up against Kansas City, a team down a Pro Bowl safety in Eric Berry, and a team I predicted to get slaughtered last week, should be favorable, despite my incorrect prediction. Without deep protection, McNabb’s top deep threat, Percy Harvin, should be able to get some space.
Tim Hightower/Roy Helo
The running back by committee is a fantasy owner’s worst enemy. Washington Redskin’s coach Mike Shanahan is a notorious offender. But their Week 4 match up against the St. Louis Rams’ – the worst running defense in the league – should have one, if not both, poised for a big game.
Historically, Shanahan’s “no-name” backs have exploded randomly a few times a season, but never stuck as top of the depth chart guys. I like what Hightower does as a blocking back, and Helu certainly has potential, so hopefully they do stick. But expect an offensive explosion from one of them sometime this season, likely this week being their best shot.